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Stop Funding AI Party Tricks

January 26, 2026

It’s easy to get dis­tract­ed with new things like AI. In every con­ver­sa­tion I’m hav­ing right now, AI is the hot top­ic. But there is a mas­sive dif­fer­ence between a cool tool” and a core dri­ver of strate­gic val­ue. Dis­cern­ment is hard when every­one has an opin­ion and every ven­dor is sell­ing a revolution.

If you want to move past the hype, you need a filter.

The Collins Filter

I recent­ly watched Jim Collins field a ques­tion about how to use AI prop­er­ly in strat­e­gy. His answer was bril­liant in its sim­plic­i­ty. He did­n’t talk about neur­al net­works or pro­cess­ing pow­er. He talked about the Fly­wheel.

The fil­ter is this: You only know you’re on the right track if the AI ini­tia­tive clear­ly strength­ens a spe­cif­ic com­po­nent of your exist­ing flywheel.

If it does­n’t pow­er one of those indi­vid­ual ele­ments — mak­ing the whole fly­wheel spin faster and more effort­less­ly — it’s a dis­trac­tion. It might be a neat” exper­i­ment, but it’s not strategic.

Effi­cien­cy vs. Growth

AI gen­er­al­ly hits a busi­ness in two places.

First, there’s Improve­ment. This is the Prof­it per X” play. It’s about tak­ing a ten-per­son job and turn­ing it into an eight-per­son job — and even­tu­al­ly, per­haps, a two-per­son job bol­stered by a small army of agents. It’s about stream­lin­ing and cost-sav­ing. Most peo­ple are dialed in here because the math is easy.

Then there’s Growth - grow­ing the num­ber of X’s” in your com­pa­ny. This is the hard part. This is pick­ing the activ­i­ties that actu­al­ly dri­ve the core unit of your busi­ness forward.

This is where the Fly­wheel becomes your best friend. A fly­wheel isn’t an abstract con­cept; it’s a mechan­i­cal real­i­ty. For an AI project to be notably sol­id,” it must do two things:

  1. Iden­ti­fy the fly­wheel com­po­nent: It has to plug direct­ly into an aspect of your fly­wheel (e.g., Cus­tomer Acqui­si­tion, Ser­vice Deliv­ery, or R&D).
  2. Move the KPI: It must move a spe­cif­ic, mea­sur­able met­ric with­in that component.
Bul­lets Before Cannonballs

If you can’t draw a straight line from the AI tool to a spe­cif­ic KPI that makes your fly­wheel turn, you might just be play­ing with shiny objects.

The Fly­wheel is your defense against strate­gic drift.” It allows you to pri­or­i­tize which ideas deserve bul­lets” — those small, low-risk tests — before you com­mit the can­non­balls” of mas­sive cap­i­tal and time.

AI can be the great­est accel­er­ant your busi­ness has ever seen. But remem­ber: an accel­er­ant only works if you have an engine to put it in. If the fuel isn’t going into the engine, you’re just mak­ing a mess on the floor.

It’s worth think­ing about. Hard.

The Chal­lenge: The 60-Sec­ond Audit

Take your list of cur­rent AI ini­tia­tives. Pick the top three. Now, for each one, answer these two questions:

  • Which spe­cif­ic com­po­nent of our Fly­wheel does this drive?
  • What is the spe­cif­ic KPI that will prove the Fly­wheel is spin­ning faster because of it?

If you can’t answer both in under six­ty sec­onds, don’t invest more until you can.

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About Lawrence & Co.
Lawrence & Co. is a growth strategy and leadership advisory firm that helps mid-market companies achieve lasting, reliable growth. Our Growth Management System turns 30 years of experience into practical steps that drive clarity, alignment, and performance—so leaders can grow faster, with less friction, and greater confidence.

About Kevin Lawrence
Kevin Lawrence has spent three decades helping companies scale from tens of millions to hundreds of millions in revenue. He works side-by-side with CEOs and leadership teams across North America, the Middle East, Asia, Australia, and Europe, bringing real-world insights from hands-on experience. Kevin is the author of Your Oxygen Mask First, a book of 17 habits to help high-performing leaders grow sustainably while protecting their mental health and resilience. He also contributed to Scaling Up (Rockefeller Habits 2.0). Based in Vancouver, he leads Lawrence & Co, a boutique firm of growth advisors.